We are always careful to point out that there is no such thing as absolute safety in relation to food. As Benjamin Franklin said: 'The only certainties in life are death and taxes.' But if you would like to understand more about chance and uncertainty, you could do a lot worse than have a look at Professor David Spiegelhalter's programme, Tails you win: the science of chance. The programme, shown on BBC4 last night and available on the BBC iPlayer, provides some excellent viewing.
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